MINUTES OF THE TWENTY - FIFTH meeting

ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT FORUM, 14 SEPTEMBER 2005

LAGAN VALLEY ISLAND, LISBURN

 

Present:            See attached list (Annex 1)

 

Apologies:         Shaun Woodward, Seamus McAleavey, Richard Sterling, Peter Bunting, Anne O’Reilly, John Mann, Raymond Mullan, John Hunter, Lawrence Smyth, Sean Neeson

 

1.                  WELCOME AND APOLOGIES / MINUTES OF LAST MEETING

 

1.1               The Minister welcomed members and representatives from the main local political parties, Mervyn Storey, DUP, Dara O’Hagan, Sinn Fein, Sean Farren, SDLP, and Roy Beggs, UUP to the meeting.  She noted apologies and thanked Lisburn City Council for hosting the meeting.

 

1.2               The Minister noted two changes in membership - Janice Tracey had replaced Niall Birthistle as Londonderry Chamber of Commerce’s deputy member and John Hunter had replaced Andrew McCormick as the DFP representative.

 

1.3               The minutes of the June meeting were agreed without amendment.

 

Matters Arising

 

Invest NI Budget

 

1.4               Professor Fabian Monds provided an update of the Invest NI budget position, highlighting that since the last meeting of the Forum additional funds had been found.  In response to Dr Farren’s query about resources being available to address funding shortfalls in Invest NI's Entrepreneurship programmes, Prof. Monds explained that Invest NI was maintaining its budget commitment to the Start A Business programme, and outlined the EU funding aspect.  Although Invest NI was not in a position to make up the EU shortfall at this point in time, a contract had recently been signed with Enterprise Northern Ireland for the continuation of the programme.

 

1.5               The Minister advised members that an evaluation of Invest NI’s Start A Business programme was underway and a report was expected in December 2005.

 

2.         CURRENT NI ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE AND FUTURE OUTLOOK

 

2.1               The Minister referred members to the most recent Quarterly Economic Review (QER), published at the end of July and advised that EDF members had been added to the circulation list for future editions of the QER.

 

2.2               Dr Hutchinson noted that the Northern Ireland economy had continued to perform well against the backdrop of global recovery, employment was at an historical high level and unemployment had more than halved in the last ten years.  He also explained why the Gross Value Added per capita measure of economic wellbeing was slowly converging with the UK and offered some reasons why a significant gap remained between Northern Ireland and the UK.  Dr Hutchinson advised that world growth was expected to moderate during 2005 and 2006 and was anticpated to be below the rate seen in 2004.  He also noted that current forecasts might be affected by the recent hike in oil prices, due to the impact of Hurricane Katrina in the US.  He explained that in 2004 the UK experienced strong growth and noted that this was expected to continue in 2005 and 2006.  He also noted there was evidence of continued price inflation globally and that this would reduce the likelihood of further interest rate cuts.

 

2.3               Dr Hutchinson concluded by highlighting some of the challenges that must be addressed if the productivity gap between the Northern Ireland and UK economies was to be closed further and the need for concerted action in the four Vision productivity driver areas, innovation, enterprise, skill and infrastructure.

 

2.4               Members commented on a number of key issues and questions included:

                     how can the trajectory of the economy be changed?

                     current initiatives seem to be tracking but not closing the gap;

                     the economic projections of CBI and others were less optimistic;

                     the need to drive the private sector?

                     how to address the shrinkage of the private sector?

                     need to consider regional disparity issues;

                     how to achieve a step change in the economy?

                     how to get into high value added manufacturing and services?

                     how sustainable were current levels of public sector spending?

 

2.5               In summarising the discussion, Mr Robinson noted that the response to the key challenges would determine how quickly NI would converge with the UK and highlighted the similarity between producing a significant growth in services productivity and the success NI had in improving manufacturing productivity during the last decade.  The prospects of achieving such an improvement in the predominantly SME manufacturing base had not looked [particularly encouraging fifteen years ago.

 

3.         VISION SUB-GROUP REPORTS

 

            Innovation Sub-group

3.1               David Dobbin noted that he was encouraged by progress made and highlighted key issues in the Sub-group report.  He outlined the way forward and recommended more interaction between the Chairs of the Sub-groups and suggested they should meet on a more frequent basis.

 

3.2               Issues raised during the discussion which followed included: private services and the need to establish more clearly, the high value added services that should be targeted; and levels of funding available to NI universities, particularly for R&D, and the role of the universities and the Further Education sector might play in supporting the development and competitiveness of NI’s SMEs.

 

3.3               Wilfie Hamilton informed members that DETI would shortly be publishing its policy response to the findings of the research projects on the future of manufacturing and tradeable services.

 

            Enterprise Sub-group

3.4       Lord Rana explained that as the issues discussed by the Sub-group covered a wide ranging area, the Group’s proposed work programme was divided into the 3 overarching themes of strategic support; profile raising; and shaping research.  He provided an overview for each theme of the key issues and actions detailed in the proposed work programme.  He also advised members that in addition to the actions detailed, the Sub-group believed action by EDF was required on fiscal incentives and the risk averse culture within the NICS, if the Vision was to be achieved.

 

3.5       During the discussion which followed, the Minister noted the importance of the links between the Sub-groups and Government and Lord Rana concluded by noting that the key issue was the creation of wealth creating global industries.  He explained that NI needed to look ahead to the next 10 years, to predict trends, emerging markets and their impact on the NI economy.

 

Skills Sub-group

3.6               Dr Michael Maguire explained that Sub-group members were agreed there was a need for a close alignment between the EDF Vision and the NI Skills Strategy and had concluded that much of what EDF wanted to achieve appeared to be contained within the Skills Strategy.  He then explained that members had been attempting since the last EDF meeting to understand the confusing picture presented by the existing network of skills organisations and providers and outlined that members had agreed to focus on a small number of areas with the purpose of:

                     improving careers guidance and education in Northern Ireland to increase the quality of advice at all levels and ages;

                     building better linkages between schools and the FE sector to widen the opportunities available to young people; and

                     developing better management capacity in Northern Ireland business.

 

3.7               Dr Maguire explained that: collaboration between DEL and DE was key; the delivery landscape was very confused; and the Sub-group challenged whether what EDF was seeking could be found in individual Departments, as these would be key implementors of any actions.

 

3.8       In the discussion that followed, members highlighted:

                     a key challenge was how to motivate young people to acquire skills;

                     there was a need to connect better with parents;

                     careers advice for children needed to be more impartial;

                     there was a need for better interaction between careers teachers and career officers;

                     there was a need for emphasis on workplace and lifelong learning in both the private and the public sectors;

                     the role of the Higher Education institutions in producing tomorrow’s innovators and entrepreneurs should not be overlooked;

                     consideration needed to be given to the impact of subsidised tuition fees for certain courses, particularly in healthcare, which was resulting in many of the brightest students being attracted into healthcare rather than into courses linked more closely with enterprising careers;

                     consideration also needed to be given to the way in which schools were funded that encourages schools to retain pupils for as long as possible rather than encouraging them to progress, if appropriate, to a Further Education College.

 

Infrastructure Sub-group

3.9       Jim McCusker reminded members that the Sub-group’s work had been concentrated on examining three areas: the barriers to the uptake of Broadband, and the opportunities for NI to capitalise on both public and private sector investment in this area; public sector procedures which might impede the delivery of infrastructure projects; and the economic case for giving road priority to commercial traffic.  He outlined the progress made by the Sub-group and advised that the Sub-group had also discussed Statutory Planning Processes.

 

3.10      Members noted the contents of the Infrastructure Sub-group’s report and commented on two issues:

                     On the planning process, members commented that the speed of the planning process seemed to slow down markedly if a proposal involved any degree of innovation; there was a need for a more holistic approach; scope for a fast track process should be investigated and that developers would be prepared to pay for a fast track process, such as can be seen in Manchester; and

 

                     On transport, members noted that the Sub-group did not seem to have considered the role of the rail system and highlighted the poor condition of the rail track north of Ballymena.

 

Medium Terms Strategic Priorities (MTSPs) Sub-group

3.11      Bob Barbour, Deputy Chair of the MTSPs Sub-group presented the Sub-group’s report and highlighted the following key points:

                     The Sub-group was proposing EDF adopted a new ‘Vision’ framework, which was a refinement of the MTSPs framework, to track the progress of NI economy towards the goals of the Economic Vision;

                     Regional Forecasts Ltd would model variations in the drivers of change to inform discussion on which of the drivers could be prioritised to close the gap more quickly;

                     EDF would publish an annual statement on progress, even if this was only a short summary of the position published on the Forum’s website; and

                     The MTSPs Sub-group should not be stood down at this time but its role revised to include responsibility for overseeing, monitoring and co-ordinating the scenario modelling work as well as overseeing monitoring and forecasting the performance of the NI economy.

 

3.12      Following a short discussion, members agreed to all the proposals in the Sub-group report.

 

ACTION:           Vision Sub-groups to:

(1)                consider the economic monitoring indicators allocated to their Sub-group’s productivity driver area and advise DETI of any additional indicators that should also be considered; and

(2)                start to develop modelling scenarios for submission to Regional Forecasts and feed these to DETI.

 

4.         COMMUNICATIONS STRATEGY

 

4.1               The Minister reminded members of their discussion at the June meeting on the Forum’s approach to external communication and that the EDF Secretariat had been tasked with the preparation of a draft communications strategy for consideration at the September meeting.  She referred members to the draft communications strategy paper and invited members to comment.

 

4.2               It was suggested and agreed that the MTSPs might take the lead in finalising the Communications Strategy.

 

ACTION:           MTSPs Sub-group to consider and finalise draft communications strategy.

 

5.         FISCAL RESEARCH PROJECT

 

5.1               Dr Hutchinson detailed progress to date and advised members that a draft final report was expected in October with a final report available as soon as possible thereafter.  He also noted that, before completion of the final report, Professor Harris would make a presentation of his draft findings to key stakeholders, including members of EDF.

 

ACTION:           Secretariat to invite EDF members and key stakeholders to the presentation by Professor Harris.

 

6.         REGIONAL ECONOMIC STRATEGY

 

6.1               The Minister noted that members were aware that the development of a Regional Economic Strategy (RES) for Northern Ireland was being taken forward by DFP and noted that it had been expected that EDF would be invited to contribute to the development of the RES.  She invited Leo O’Reilly to provide an update on progress.

 

6.2               Mr O’Reilly explained the background to the strategy, highlighting the Government’s long term priorities, the key factors in maintaining macroeconomic stability and HM Treasury’s key policy drivers for productivity.  He then outlined how this background linked with the Economic Vision for NI and how this linked to the proposed RES.  Mr O’Reilly concluded by providing some details on progress to date and an overview of the public expenditure outlook, national public expenditure challenges and the implications for Northern Ireland.  Members noted the current position and a number of concerns.  There was consensus amongst the social partner members that they would like to be more involved in the process to produce the RES.  It was agreed that a draft of the RES would be provided for the next EDF meeting.

 

ACTION:           DFP to provide members with a draft copy of the RES.

 

7.         2006/7 PUBLIC SECTOR BUDGET ROUND

 

7.1               Mr O’Reilly advised members that an announcement would be made at the start of October.

 

8.                  FUTURE AGENDA ITEMS

 

8.1               In response to the Minister’s question about items for discussion / debate at future meetings Mr Hamilton suggested that some thought might be given to the priorities for the key note research agenda and that this might be considered by the Sub-groups.  It was also suggested that there might be a discussion around all island issues.

 

9.                  ANY OTHER BUSINESS

 

Press Release

 

9.1               Members agreed that a press release highlighting the outcomes of the meeting should be issued.

 

ACTION:           DETI to draft a press release and circulate to members for comment and approval.

 

Broadband Conference

 

9.2               The Minister informed members that following the successful ‘ICT Demonstration of Best Practice’ conference organised in Londonderry, in June 2004, the Information Society Working Group (ISWG) with the support of DETI was organising a second conference in Newry on 18-19 May 2006.  She asked that members note the event that would involve the showcasing of “cutting edge” ICT projects from across the EU and would be held in the Canal Court Hotel and the Newry & Kilkeel Institute of Further and Higher Education.

 

Date of Next Meeting

 

9.3               The Minister closed the meeting by reminding members that the Forum’s next plenary meeting would be on 6 December.


 

ANNEX 1

ATTENDEES AT EDF MEETING ON 14 SEPTEMBER 2005

 

Angela Smith

Chair

   

Attendee

Organisation

Frances McCandless

NICVA

Michael Maguire

IOD

David Dobbin

CBI

Bob Barbour

CforC

Lord Rana

NICCI

Janice Tracey

Londonderry Chamber of Commerce

Jim McCusker

NIC/ICTU

Tom Gillen

NIC/ICTU

Patricia McKeown

NIC/ICTU

John Gilliland

Ulster Farmers’ Union

Brian Turtle

Further Education

Fabian Monds

Invest NI

Bernie Hannigan

Higher Education

Michael McGuckin

SOLACE

Wilfred Mitchell

FSB

Mervyn Storey

DUP

Dara O’Hagan

Sinn Fein

Sean Farren

SDLP

Roy Beggs

UUP

Bruce Robinson

DETI

Will Haire

DEL

Doreen Brown

DRD

Gerry McGinn

DE

Leo O’Reilly

DFP

Wilfie Hamilton

DETI

Graeme Hutchinson

DETI

Anne Martin

DETI

Stephen Moore

DETI